Case for Buying a House Now Before the Price Goes Up in Washington D.C.

by John Wake on March 10, 2007

It was written about the metro Washington D.C. real estate market but this article sure sounds like it’s describing the metro Phoenix real estate market.

The “super hot” housing market in the Washington area began to normalize in mid-2005. Housing supply increased rapidly as investors dumped their units onto the market in an effort to capture the value gained in the preceding years. Simultaneously, demand conditions softened temporarily during the second half of 2005 in response to higher energy costs, interest rate fears and media-fueled concerns over the housing market’s gradual slowdown.

This normalization process continued in 2006 and was accelerated by further energy price increases during the year’s second quarter. The excess units on the market should be largely taken down by the first quarter of 2007 with price stability occurring during the first half of 2007 as demand solidifies in response to interest rate stability, declining energy costs, rising consumer confidence and positive seasonal factors associated with spring housing market activity.

It’s gotta be true because the author has a Ph.D.

metro job change

{ 3 comments… read them below or add one }

1

Ken44 03.11.07 at 10:00 am

Yeah, I kinda agree that the Phx Metro inventory has about peaked. Yet there are more than a few housing bloggers who feel the inventory will still climb well into the 65-70,000 range.

2

Cbass 03.11.07 at 6:44 pm

Great debate over at AZ Republic.

http://www.azcentral.com/news/articles/0302vhv-cover0311.html

I am in the inventory will keep climbing camp. For what it is worth, when have we seen so many for sale signs out there? I mean 1, 2, 3+ per street. Many are FSBO so I wouldn’t be suprised to know we are already at 65K Ken. I travel valley wide for work and play and this is not just in one area. It is affecting all areas of the valley.

3

John L. Wake - Realtor 03.11.07 at 10:49 pm

Ken44,

I don’t think there is an ice sickle’s chance it hell that ARMLS inventory will go to 70,000.

Except for last month, the trend since about September has been for inventory to fall.

I’m going to say that will continue to be the general trend until summer. Only time will tell.

Cbass,

Nice link. Boy, there are a ton of bitter people over there.

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